Connect with us

Published

on

[ad_1]

North Korea is already testing the incoming Joe Biden administration. Speaking at the first Congress of the Workers’ Party of Korea in five years, North Korean dictator Kim Jong Un said he wants to bolster his military, especially his nuclear arsenal. According to North Korea’s state news, Kim called the United States a “war monster,” and North Korea’s “biggest main enemy.”

This increases the possibility of saber-rattling in the first half of 2021. The Biden team may take a different approach to North Korea than the Trump administration. Instead of off-and-on head of state diplomacy, the incoming administration may take a hardline stance on North Korean denuclearization without working toward some sort of diplomatic détente.

It doesn’t look like playing nice with North Korea is a high priority for team Biden. It’s also worth noting Kim has called Biden a “rabid dog” who “deserves to be beaten.”

Yet taking an absolutist stance on denuclearization without seeking incremental normalization would be a mistake for Biden. Kim’s bellicose remarks are only meant to test the incoming Biden administration and gain attention from Washington.

The status quo of a nuclear North Korea may not be ideal, but it is sustainable. North Korea is already deterred from using nuclear weapons by America’s vast nuclear prowess, which can be delivered via submarine just off of Kim’s coast.

North Korea has tremendous artillery firepower that could do damage to South Korea, but this firepower is offset by South Korea’s better-funded and more technologically advanced military. Even China, which doesn’t want to see its somewhat-ally North Korea enter open war, provides a military check on the hermit kingdom.

Kim is well aware he’s contained. In the same remarks, Kim said he wants better relations with other countries. He said that the “key to establishing DPRK-U.S. relations is in the U.S. lifting its hostile policy [towards Pyongyang].” Kim also vowed not to misuse his nuclear weapons “unless hostile forces try to use nuclear [weapons] targeting us.”

Yes, Kim Jong Un is an evil dictator who presides over the suffering of millions, but these are hardly the ravings of a lunatic or fanatic. Kim Jong Un is ultimately a rational actor, who is largely motivated by fear. As such, asking Kim to completely disarm while tensions remain high is asking the impossible.

Kim views his nuclear weapons as an insurance policy to ensure his safety and the safety of his regime. Right or wrong, Kim looks at the only dictator to ever give up his nuclear designs — Moammar Gadhafi— as a cautionary tale as to why nukes shouldn’t

Advertisement
be abandoned.

China’s influence over North Korea is also the elephant in the room. Pyongyang doesn’t necessarily trust Beijing but views Beijing as its only ally. China also has tremendous economic leverage over North Korea.

China is heavily interested in not having an American ally — or a democracy like South Korea — on its border. This allows China to play the spoiler on any sort of military drawdown plan between America and North Korea. To break the China logjam, engagement, better relations, and even some economic ties need to come before Kim even considers some sort of demilitarization.

In the end, asking for denuclearization is a dead-end road. The better way is a path of restraint and recognizing that North Korea is sufficiently deterred. The Biden administration should prioritize short-term normalization over maximalist demands for denuclearization. Here, it is very possible that some demilitarization follows once give-and-take diplomacy takes hold.

It is understandable if Biden doesn’t want to pursue the attention-seeking roadmap of Trump’s approach to North Korea. But it would be a mistake to abandon the Trump administration’s attempt at détente altogether.

Perhaps the Biden administration could start with backchannels to continue to discuss, find, and work toward common goals. A better situation with North Korea, which could also place yet another check on China, could be the crowning achievement of Biden’s foreign policy. There’s no need to let an opportunity go to waste.



[ad_2]

Advertisement
Comments

Donald Trump

Video:Supreme Court okays release of Trump’s tax documents to prosecutors

Published

on

The U.S. Supreme Court on Monday allowed former President Donald Trump’s tax records to be handed over to New York prosecutors. The order marks a setback for Trump in a lengthy battle to obtain eight years of his tax records as part of an investigation into the businessman-cum-politician’s finances.

Advertisement

Continue Reading

Fox news

VIDEO: Acting Asst. AG was former colleague of Hunter Biden lawyer

Published

on

Sen. Mike Lee, R-UT, reacts to President Biden’s ‘extreme’ nominees Vanita Gupta and Kristen Clarke who have made “insensitive statements” in the past.

Advertisement

(Fox News)

Continue Reading

Joe Biden

Video: Biden decision to cancel keystone XL oil pipeline shatters hotel owner business

Published

on

Hotel Owner Shattered by Pipeline Decision After the Keystone XL oil pipeline was canceled, things got more quiet and lonely out in South Dakota. A hotel owner who used to have all of her rooms filled now has to cope with the pipeline workers having moved on.

Advertisement

Continue Reading
Advertisement
Leaked6 hours ago

Ted Cruz says wife Heidi is ‘pretty pissed’ over leaked Cancun texts

Donald Trump15 hours ago

Video:Supreme Court okays release of Trump’s tax documents to prosecutors

Border Wall18 hours ago

VIDEO: Biden halts near-completed section of border wall

Fox news18 hours ago

VIDEO: Acting Asst. AG was former colleague of Hunter Biden lawyer

Energy23 hours ago

Far from Texas energy crisis, battle over solar energy in Montana raises similar concerns

Carol Swain1 day ago

The Candace Owens Show: Carol Swain- Is America racist?

Joe Biden2 days ago

Video: Biden decision to cancel keystone XL oil pipeline shatters hotel owner business

Donald Trump2 days ago

Video: Donald Trump considers another White House run in 2024

Capitol Riots2 days ago

Video: Trump is “plotting revenge” against his traitors – Jackman

Politics2 days ago

Biden’s Interior nominee failed to report casino income on congressional ethics report

Uncategorized4 days ago

School Board members caught mocking parents over lockdown — They thought their Zoom call was private…

Politics5 days ago

Convicted fundraiser who tried to work his way into Biden’s inner circle sentenced to prison

Politics5 days ago

Cruz responds to pictures of him on Mexico flight, with Texas struggling from deadly winter storm

Fox news6 days ago

‘A lot of people don’t know the severity of what’s going on’

Politics6 days ago

South Carolina House passes bill that would prohibit most abortions if a fetal heartbeat is detected

Clinton2 months ago

BREAKING Whistleblower: Drops HARD Evidence, Biden, Obama, Hillary EXECUTED Seal Team 6, Audio Proof

Banned Video2 weeks ago

Censored Dr. Goes Off On Lying Fauci, CDC and NIH

DOJ3 weeks ago

Sidney Powell | How to Fix Justice

Rep Marjorie Taylor Greene3 weeks ago

2019 video shows Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene telling people to flood the Capitol

Mike Bloomberg3 weeks ago

[VIDEO] Uh Oh, Now Mike Bloomberg is Going After Joe Biden

Clinton2 months ago

Breaking: Patrick Byrne says he set Hillary Clinton up in a FBI sting in January 2016 for a 18 million dollar bribe

Nancy Pelosi4 weeks ago

Nancy Pelosi’s long history of getting rich from shady Wall Street deals…

Impeachment3 weeks ago

Breaking — President Trump’s Formal Written Response to Article of Impeachment…

Candace Owens2 weeks ago

Candace Owens post photo of her son with a message to all young feminist.

Politics2 months ago

Romney Gets Confronted At Utah Airport, Passengers Chant ‘Traitor’ After He Boards The Plane

Donald Trump3 weeks ago

Trump calls Marjorie Taylor Greene… ‘I will never back down!’

William Barr2 months ago

Video: Facts Matter (Dec.15): The Real Reason That Barr ‘Resigned’

President Health4 weeks ago

Biden did not look healthy in a brief appearance from the Oval Office today

Impeachment4 weeks ago

Rep Marjorie Taylor Greene is keeping her word!

Alexandria Ocasio Smollett3 weeks ago

Photos of AOC and the staged protest in front of fence in which she falsely claimed children were inside, being held in cages

Facebook

Facebook

Trending

Copyright © 2021 By TSD