Connect with us

Published

on

Advertisement



Pew’s survey of “validated voters” — members of their survey panel whom they could match as people who cast ballots on state voter files — is among the deepest analyses of who voted in the last presidential election and how. And because Pew also conducted similar studies of the 2016 and 2018 electorates, it’s possible to track how both parties’ coalitions evolved across the Trump era — and where the battle lines for the 2022 midterm elections may fall.

According to the Pew analysis, Trump won white voters by 12 percentage points, 55 percent to 43 percent, down from 15 points in 2016. Biden narrowed Trump’s margin among white men — from 30 points in 2016, to 17 points in 2020 — but Trump won white women by a larger spread (7 points) than he won them in 2016 (2 points).

Meanwhile, Biden held steady among Black voters, carrying them by an 84-point spread (92 percent to 8 percent), virtually identical to Hillary Clinton’s 85-point lead four years ago.

But Biden only won Hispanic voters by 21 points, 59 percent to 38 percent, down significantly from Clinton’s 38-point advantage, 66 percent to 28 percent. There was a slight gender gap — Biden won Hispanic men by 17 and Hispanic women by 24 — but Trump surged broadly among Hispanics, especially among Hispanic voters without a college degree.

Trump “had about a 10-point gain from 2016 to 2020 in the share of Hispanic voters who supported him,” said Ruth Igielnik, a senior researcher at Pew. “One thing that I thought was really striking was there was this pretty sizable college/non-college divide within Hispanic voters. Hispanics without a college degree were about 10 points more supportive of Trump … than college-educated Hispanics.”

The Trump gains with Hispanic voters have some Republicans optimistic they can pick up congressional seats in Texas next year, along with holding the two South Florida House seats they flipped in 2020. But the Pew report suggests those gains could be fleeting: While Trump narrowed his loss among Hispanic voters between 2016 and 2020, Democrats won them in 2018 House races by their widest margin, 47 points.

While the survey release does not break down Hispanic voters by country of origin, the authors do remind readers that the Hispanic vote is “not a monolith” and link to an October 2020 blog post

Advertisement
headlined, “Most Cuban American voters identify as Republican in 2020.”

Igielnik described the 2020 election as one of both “continuity” and “change.” The majority of Biden and Trump supporters also voted for the same party in 2016. But huge spikes in turnout for the 2018 midterms and 2020 presidential elections also mean that both parties brought new voters into the fold. Each candidate benefited from new voters in 2020, with Biden winning the vast majority of younger, new voters — but Trump cleaning up with new voters over age 30.

A key group, Igielnik said, were voters who did not participate in 2016 — historically, a lower-turnout election for a presidential year — but did vote in both 2018 and 2020. Keeping those voters in the fold will be key for Democrats, given the historical trends against new presidents in their first midterm and the typical dropoff in turnout when the presidency isn’t on the ballot.

“That group favored Biden by 2-to-1,” Igielnik said. “That’s where he was able to get that edge.”

And despite the rise in turnout, the historical trends of who voted and who didn’t persisted. Voters were more likely to be older, more Republican, and white. Younger voters, Democrats and nonwhites made up larger shares of the group that didn’t turn out in 2020, in line with long-term trends.

“Even in this very-high-turnout election, all of those differences were still evident,” Igielnik said. “There were very similar differences between voters and non-voters.”

Pew’s “validated voter” survey was conducted Nov. 12-17, 2020, with roughly 10,000 voters. The results were weighted to the general-election outcome, with Biden capturing 51 percent of the vote, and Trump 47 percent.

Advertisement
Advertisement
Comments

Politics

L.A. SERGEANT: Newsom Living in a ‘Fantasy World,’ Crime ‘Surging With No Consequences’

Published

on

By

Advertisement



TOTAL RECALL: Newsom Begs Californians to ‘Voluntarily Reduce Water Consumption’ By 15%

posted by Hannity Staff – 7.09.21

Embattled California Governor Gavin Newsom is pleading with Golden State resident’s to “voluntarily” limit their water consumption as the region struggles with high-temperatures and drought conditions.

“We’re hopeful that people will take that mindset they brought into the last drought and extend that forward with a 15% voluntary reduction, not only on residences but industrial commercial operations and agricultural operations,” Newsom said in a news conference.

“We’re not trying to be oppressive,” Newsom stressed, The Times reported. “Again, these are voluntary standards.”

Newsom will officially be recalled on September 14th as he fends of potential challengers eager to take his position.

The Governor has faced a growing backlash over a series of botched plans; including his decision to shutter businesses for more than a year to slow the spread of COVID-19.

Read the full report at Fox News.

TOTAL RECALL: Newsom Says Recall Effort Has Enough Signatures, Eating Out Was ‘Terrible Mistake’

posted by Hannity Staff – 3.16.21

California Governor Gavin Newsom admitted the obvious during an interview with ‘The View’ Tuesday; saying it “appears” there are now enough signatures to force a mandatory recall vote and potentially oust him from office.

“Am I worried about it? Of course I’m worried about it,” Newsom said. “The nature of these things, the up or down question, the zero-sum nature of the question is challenging…so we’re taking it seriously.”

 

“This one appears to have the requisite signatures,” the Democratic governor said.

“I’ve only been in office 25 months, just 25 months there’s been six efforts to put a recall on the ballot. This one appears to have the requisite signatures. This started before the pandemic,” he said. “If you look at the list of grievances from the proponents of this campaign, it goes to our values, it’s less about me, it’s more about California and our values, Democratic Party values.”

“I have to do my job every single day, but I’m gonna fight this thing because I’m gonna fight for California values and the things I hold dear,” he added.

Watch Newsom’s admission above.



Advertisement
Continue Reading

Politics

CRUZ to PSAKI: ‘Republicans Are Proud to Support the Police, DEMOCRATS Are Demonizing Them’

Published

on

By

Advertisement



Texas Senator Ted Cruz called-out White House Press Secretary Jen Psaki Friday after the top Biden aide accused Republicans of moving to “defund” the police; saying it’s the Democrats who are “demonizing” the men and women in blue.

“Republicans are proud to support the police, to stand with the men and women of blue, while Democrats are demonizing and vilifying the brave men and women of law enforcement,” said Ted Cruz from the US Capitol.

“I think the President believes we shouldn’t allow access to guns to those criminals who are illegally buying them from dealers across the country,” said the Press Secretary in June. “Part of it is also ensuring specific guidance to communities to ensure they have funding to get more community police. Something that was supported by the American Jobs Plan… Some might say the other party was for defunding the police,” she added.

“The President did mention that the American Rescue Plan, a lot of Democrats, could help ensure that local cops were kept on the beat in communities across the country. It did not receive a single Republican vote. That funding has been used to keep cops on the beat!” claimed Psaki a short time later.

“Any local department would argue that keeping cops on the beat … is something that helped them fight crime in their communities,” she added.

Watch Cruz’ comments above.

Advertisement

CRUZ MISSILE: Biden Admin Believes ‘American Jobs are Bad but Russian Jobs are Good’

posted by Hannity Staff – 5.21.21

Senator Ted Cruz called-out the Biden-Harris administration at the US Capitol this week; blasting the White House for suspending American energy pipelines while backing Russia’s oil industry.

“For whatever reason, the Biden-Harris administration seems to have a philosophy that American pipelines and American jobs are bad but Russian pipelines and Russian jobs are apparently good,” said Cruz.

President Biden suspended the Keystone Pipeline through an Executive Order the first day he entered the Oval Office, prompting outrage from energy workers across the United States.

Watch Cruz’ comments above.

CRUZ MISSILE: Cruz Asks Twitter to BAN CNN Over Post Promoting Same Drug That Got Trump Jr Barred

posted by Hannity Staff – 7.29.20

Senator Ted Cruz demanded Twitter ban CNN from its platform Tuesday night; pointing out the network promoted the same treatment for CoVID-19 that got Donald Trump Jr’s account frozen this week.

“Twitter, please ban CNN,” posted Cruz, citing the story.

 

 

“A surprising new study found that the controversial antimalarial drug hydroxychloroquine helped Covid-19 patients better survive in the hospital,” posted CNN on July 3rd.

Twitter temporarily restricted Trump Jr’s account after posting a video promoting the treatment.



Advertisement
Continue Reading

Politics

WATCH: Wild Dash Cam Footage Shows Migrants Fleeing Vehicle After Being Pulled Over by Police

Published

on

By

Advertisement



Wild dash-cam footage was published on social media Friday showing at least 12 migrants escaping a smuggler’s vehicle after it was pulled over by police in the Del Rio sector of the US-Mexico border.

“Wild dash cam footage from Texas DPS shows a trooper in a recent pursuit of a human smuggler here in Del Rio. The smuggler bails, and at least a dozen illegal immigrants spill out and flee. Trooper focused on driver & caught him. Some of the passengers got away,” posted Fox News Bill Melugin on Twitter.

 

“Another Texas DPS pursuit of a human smuggler & bailout here in Del Rio last week. The driver and all of the illegal immigrants who ran were caught. Texas DPS tells me their troopers have been involved in 473 pursuits since the start of Operation Lone Star as of 7/15,” he added.

The journalist posted other videos this week showing Federal Agents escorting migrants -some from Haiti and Senegal- into the USA.

“Another group of migrants has just been walked through the border gate into the U.S. here in Del Rio, TX. Most of the group is from Haiti. Some of the single adult men you see waiting in the back tell me they’re from Senegal, a country in West Africa. It’s non-stop,” posted the reporter.

“NEW: More groups of migrants being walked through the border gate to a waiting Border Patrol van here in Del Rio this morning. This is one of several groups we’ve seen come through today. Our drone team in RGV says 300+ have already crossed in La Joya, TX as of 9am,” he added.

 

Watch the shocking footage above.

BORDER CHAOS: 500 Pounds of Mexican METH Discovered in ‘DISNEY’ Figurines

posted by Hannity Staff – 4.11.18

The Drug Enforcement Agency discovered over $2 million worth of smuggled Mexican methamphetamines hidden inside Disney character figurines Wednesday; calling the haul the biggest “meth bust” in the Atlanta region.

According to DEA officials, the drugs were hidden inside over 500 figurines meant to look like beloved Disney characters such as Winnie the Pooh and Tigger.

“DEA Atlanta Division Special Agent in Charge Robert Murphy says the meth originated in Mexico and was destined for Atlanta,” writes a local CBS affiliate. “He says another load containing legitimate ceramic figurines was intercepted and is believed to have been intended as a decoy.”

The discovery comes as President Trump pledges to crackdown on human trafficking and drug smuggling at the United States’ southern border; vowing last week to deploy the National Guard to help secure the region.

BORDER CHAOS: America TOPS GERMANY for Most Asylum Applications in 2017

posted by Hannity Staff – 6.19.18

Stunning new data released by the United Nations reveals that the United States now has more asylum requests than Germany; a country that has admitted more than one million refugees since 2015.

The UN Refugee Agency published the statistics Tuesday, showing that individual asylum applications in the US rose by 27% in 2017; reaching over 330,000 new requests and topping Germany’s 198,000.

“Meanwhile, more people last year from parts of North and Central America ‘undertook the perilous journey northwards to seek asylum in Mexico and the United States of America,’” writes Politico.

“We are at a watershed, where success in managing forced displacement globally requires a new and far more comprehensive approach so that countries and communities aren’t left dealing with this alone,” added the UN report.

Read the full report at Politico.



Advertisement
Continue Reading
Advertisement
Politics10 hours ago

L.A. SERGEANT: Newsom Living in a ‘Fantasy World,’ Crime ‘Surging With No Consequences’

Politics11 hours ago

CRUZ to PSAKI: ‘Republicans Are Proud to Support the Police, DEMOCRATS Are Demonizing Them’

Politics12 hours ago

WATCH: Wild Dash Cam Footage Shows Migrants Fleeing Vehicle After Being Pulled Over by Police

Politics13 hours ago

BRINGING DOWN THE HOUSE: Freedom Caucus Urges GOP to Attempt to Remove Pelosi as Speaker

Politics14 hours ago

WHICH IS IT? Biden Says ‘Crime is Down’ But ‘Gun Violence and Murder Rates Are Up’

Olympic14 hours ago

Tokyo Olympics Open with Muted Ceremony, Empty Stadium

Health15 hours ago

Biden DOJ Will Not Investigate Gretchen Whitmer Nursing Home Deaths

Immigration15 hours ago

Sweden: Pregnant Children Found Begging On Street During Police Operation

Politics15 hours ago

REPORT: ICE Confirms ‘30% of Detainees’ Refusing COVID-19 Vaccine ‘While in Detention Centers’

Joe Biden16 hours ago

Thirteen Bizarre Quotes from Joe Biden’s CNN Town Hall in Cincinnati

Politics16 hours ago

BIDEN on ???: President Asks If There Are People Who Think ‘We’re Sucking the Blood Out of Kids’

Politics18 hours ago

JUST IN: Cleveland Indians Change Their Name After More Than a Century, Will Be ‘The Guardians’

Politics19 hours ago

OBSESSION: Dem Senators Say Investigation into BRETT KAVANAUGH ‘Continues’, Suggest ‘Cover-Up’

China20 hours ago

“If I had my way, I would come down on China so hard” – Marjorie Greene

Big Tech21 hours ago

House Republicans ascribes Biden behavior to speech censorship on social media as that of a ‘Cuban dictator’

biden administration3 months ago

VIDEO: It’s ‘not a great time’ for America to have a ‘weak’ president: Andrew Bolt

Politics1 month ago

No Masks, No Distancing – The Disgraceful Covid Hypocrisy of the G7 Elite

Capitol Hill4 months ago

FIRST PHOTOS — Capitol Hill Killer is Black Muslim… Louis Farrakhan Supporter… Identified as 25 Year-Old Noah Green…

coronavirus3 weeks ago

Deaths from vaccine top 6K as FDA issues warning after spike in cases of fatal heart inflammation

President Trump1 month ago

Trump announces brand new 2,000-mile long luxury hotel at Southern Border…

Developing Story1 month ago

Arizona’s Katie Hobbs Suffers COMPLETE Meltdown on CNN – The Truth Is Coming

2020 Election1 week ago

Arizona Audit Team Escorted from Building after Explosive Audit Hearing

Nancy Pelosi4 months ago

VIDEO: FAIL: Nancy Pelosi’s Effort to Change GOP House Seat Blows Up In Her Face

2020 Election2 months ago

Sidney Powell’s bold prediction…

Candace Owens2 months ago

VIDEO: “No Escape For Pelosi, Jail Is Sure” Candace Owens Destroys Nancy Pelosi……

Dominion3 months ago

Mike Lindell Sues Dominion for $1.6 Billion

Ohio4 weeks ago

Watch Live: President Donald Trump Rally LIVE in Wellington, OH – 6/26/21

Whistle Blower1 month ago

Reporter Releases Undercover Video EXPOSING Media Bosses

Chicago1 month ago

HORROR In Chicago: Couple Pulled from Their Car and Shot Point Blank

Daunte Wright3 months ago

MSM will never show you this… Video of Daunte Wright waving around his gun…

Trending

Copyright © 2021 Candace Owens Fans by TSD